Anneli Guthke has been invited as a guest speaker for the spring seminar series jointly hosted by the Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics (IDYST) and the Institute of Earth Sciences (ISTE) at the University of Lausanne. The interdisciplinary seminar series, organized within the Faculty of Geosciences and Environment, regularly features leading voices in Earth Science research.
Dr. Guthke is Junior Research Group Leader in Statistical Model Data Integration at the Cluster of Excellence SimTech at the University of Stuttgart. Her research focuses on advancing uncertainty quantification and model diagnostics in Earth system modeling. She develops rigorous statistical approaches to improve the integration of data and process-based models, at the interface of domain science, Bayesian inference, and machine learning. Her work contributes to better understanding model behavior, guiding model development, and enhancing the reliability of predictions in hydrology and other Earth science domains.
The invitation was initiated by Prof. Niklas Linde, with whom Anneli Guthke has maintained a long-standing academic exchange through conferences and shared interests in Bayesian updating in hydrogeology and hydrogeophysics, Bayesian model selection, and ML-based model acceleration. Their mutual interests have laid the groundwork for a forthcoming collaborative research proposal.
As part of her visit, Dr. Guthke gave an in-person presentation titled:
"Uncertainties in Earth Science Modelling: Diagnostics, Quantification, and Implications for (Hybrid) Model Development"
In her talk, she explored how uncertainties can be systematically diagnosed and quantified in Earth system models using the Bayesian framework. Highlighting both its strengths and limitations, she contrasted physics-based and data-driven approaches, ultimately discussing the potential of hybrid modeling strategies. She also introduced the UNITE toolbox, developed by her doctoral researcher Manuel Álvarez Chaves to evaluate the performance, reliability, and conceptual consistency of models across the physics–data-driven spectrum.
Dr. Guthke’s visit went beyond the well-frequented seminar talk: she engaged in strategic discussions with Prof. Linde to plan their future collaboration and connected with PhD students, Postdocs and PIs of with neighboring research groups within the Lausanne Earth Science community.